Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.005060 0.005751 0.006541 0.007523 0.008723 0.010158 0.012032
2025-11-30 0.004053 0.004894 0.005946 0.007390 0.009372 0.012082 0.016228
2025-12-07 0.003435 0.004307 0.005461 0.007153 0.009673 0.013476 0.020086
2025-12-14 0.003050 0.003937 0.005163 0.007059 0.010083 0.015063 0.024817
2025-12-21 0.002848 0.003777 0.005113 0.007292 0.011012 0.017724 0.032755
2025-12-28 0.002714 0.003689 0.005146 0.007643 0.012203 0.021247 0.044754
2026-01-04 0.002547 0.003529 0.005042 0.007739 0.012951 0.024172 0.057710
2026-01-11 0.002373 0.003339 0.004863 0.007668 0.013351 0.026493 0.071228
2026-01-18 0.002241 0.003198 0.004745 0.007686 0.013933 0.029499 0.090807
2026-01-25 0.002091 0.003018 0.004541 0.007507 0.014042 0.031332 0.108509
2026-02-01 0.001934 0.002811 0.004272 0.007164 0.013707 0.031795 0.120761
2026-02-08 0.001792 0.002622 0.004016 0.006818 0.013299 0.031907 0.131876
2026-02-15 0.001715 0.002542 0.003961 0.006901 0.014035 0.036334 0.184440
2026-02-22 0.001617 0.002420 0.003821 0.006791 0.014275 0.039341 0.240914
2026-03-01 0.001517 0.002286 0.003646 0.006580 0.014195 0.041160 0.297885
2026-03-08 0.001442 0.002192 0.003536 0.006497 0.014455 0.044613 0.404984
2026-03-15 0.001408 0.002166 0.003553 0.006704 0.015629 0.053260 0.736259
2026-03-22 0.001386 0.002162 0.003610 0.007015 0.017249 0.066287 1.766695
2026-03-29 0.001343 0.002114 0.003577 0.007101 0.018170 0.076839 4.174247
2026-04-05 0.001289 0.002043 0.003490 0.007038 0.018559 0.084649 10.014241
2026-04-12 0.001247 0.001990 0.003436 0.007054 0.019257 0.096206 50.681730
2026-04-19 0.001192 0.001911 0.003322 0.006895 0.019235 0.101983 377.639732
2026-04-26 0.001129 0.001813 0.003160 0.006590 0.018559 0.101022 2371.070920